“The decision to call off the IPO was taken some time ago, but no-one can disclose this, so statements are gradually going that way – first delay then calling off,” a Saudi source familiar with the IPO plans said. Saudi Aramco did not immediately respond to an e-mailed request for comment. The Saudi Royal Court had no immediate comment. The proposed listing was a central part of Crown Prince Mohamed bin Salman’s reform drive aimed at restructuring the country’s economy and reducing its dependence on oil revenue.
The prince announced the plan to sell about 5% of Aramco in 2016 via a local and an international listing, predicting the sale would value the whole company at $2tn or more. Several industry experts however questioned whether a valuation that high was realistic, which hindered the process of preparing the IPO for the advisers.
Stock exchanges in financial centres including London, New York and Hong Kong had been vying to host the international tranche of the share sale. International banks JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley and HSBC, were working as global co-ordinators, boutique investment banks Moelis & Co and Evercore were chosen as independent advisers and law firm White & Case as legal adviser, sources had previously told Reuters.
Lawyers, bankers and auditors are all essential in drafting the prospectus, a formal document that provides essential details on the company. “The message we have been given is that the IPO has been called off for the foreseeable future,” said one of the sources, a senior financial adviser. “Even the local float on the Tadawul Stock Exchange has been shelved,” the source added. Saudi energy minister and Aramco chairman Khalid al-Falih said in the company’s 2017 annual report, released in August, that Aramco “continued to prepare itself for the listing of its shares, a landmark event the company and its board anticipate with excitement”.
Aramco had a budget which it used to pay advisers until the end of June. This has not been renewed, one of the sources said. “The advisors have been put on standby,” a third source, a senior oil industry official said. “The IPO has not been officially called off, but the likelihood of it not happening at all is greater than it being on.” Sources have previously told Reuters that in addition to the valuations, disagreements among Saudi officials and their advisers over which international listing venue to be chosen had slowed down the IPO preparations.
Sources and photo-credits: Gulf Times