Why Oil extends longest rally this year?

Oil Extends Longest Rally This Year as U.S. Drilling Slows. Oil extended the longest run of gains this year as U.S. drilling slowed after a record expansion. Futures rose 0.6 percent in New York, adding to an 8.3 percent gain the previous seven sessions. U.S. drillers targeting crude reduced the number of active rigs for the first time in 24 weeks, according to Baker Hughes Inc. data on Friday. Libya’s oil production climbed to more than 1 million barrels a day for the first time in four years, according to a person with direct knowledge of the situation.

  • American rigs targeting crude drop first time in 24 weeks
  • Libyan production increases to highest level in four years

 

While prices surged last week, oil in New York and London still posted a monthly loss in June after tumbling into a bear market on concerns that rising global supply will counter cuts from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its partners. There are signs of a slowdown in the U.S., but Libya is adding more oil to the market as it restarts fields that are exempt from OPEC’s production curbs.

“A further pillar of price support came as the relentless surge in U.S. drilling activity took a break,” said Stephen Brennock, an analyst at PVM Oil Associates Ltd. in London. It “suggests some producers are starting to feel the pinch from the recent slide in prices.” West Texas Intermediate for August delivery advanced 27 cents to $46.31 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 1:30 p.m. in London. Total volume traded was about 17 percent below the 100-day average. The contract gained $1.11 to $46.04 on Friday to the highest since June 13.

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Brent for September settlement was 22 cents higher at $48.99 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. Front-month prices gained 5.2 percent last week. The global benchmark crude traded at a premium of $2.46 to September WTI.

U.S. drillers reduced the number of rigs by 2 to 756, snapping the longest stretch of gains in at least three decades, according to Baker Hughes. The count had climbed to the highest level since April 2015. Libya’s output has rebounded from only 690,000 barrels a day at the start of the year, with Sharara, the country’s largest oil field, resuming production last month. State National Oil Corp. Chairman Mustafa Sanalla said in April he wanted to boost national output to 1.1 million barrels a day by August.

Oil-market news:

  • Hedge fund wagers on lower WTI prices in the week through June 27 increased at a slower pace than the two previous weeks, according to data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Money managers also extended their short positions on Brent crude before prices rebounded last week.
  • A Saudi-led coalition that has cut air, sea and land links with Qatar over accusations the country is supporting terrorism agreed to a two-day extension of its deadline for Qatar to meet its demands, the state-run Saudi Press Agency reported.
  • OPEC’s crude output rose 210,000 barrels a day in June to 32.54 million as Libya, Angola and Saudi Arabia pumped more, said JBC Energy.
  • Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is reviewing its commodities business after a slump in the first half of the year, according to people with knowledge of the matter.
  • Iraq sees no need for deeper production cuts for now and will keep investing to raise its capacity to 5 million barrels a day by year-end even if prices fall, Oil Minister Jabbar Al-Luaibi said at a conference in London.